SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hong Kong win with a probability of 48.06%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Cambodia had a probability of 25.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Cambodia win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hong Kong would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hong Kong | Draw | Cambodia |
48.06% ( -0.07) | 26.65% ( 0.27) | 25.29% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 47.3% ( -0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.23% ( -1.14) | 56.76% ( 1.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.29% ( -0.93) | 77.71% ( 0.92) |
| Hong Kong Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.33% ( -0.52) | 23.66% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.23% ( -0.76) | 57.76% ( 0.75) |
| Cambodia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.96% ( -0.81) | 38.03% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.2% ( -0.79) | 74.8% ( 0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hong Kong | Draw | Cambodia |
| 1-0 @ 12.97% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.59% Total : 48.06% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 9% ( 0.39)2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.64% | 0-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 4.21% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.61% Total : 25.29% |
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