SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Argentina had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.08%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest Argentina win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Indonesia | Draw | Argentina |
43.96% ( 30.71) | 22.46% ( 2.17) | 33.58% ( -32.88) |
| Both teams to score 66.55% ( 20.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.08% ( 14.06) | 33.93% ( -14.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.22% ( 14.38) | 55.78% ( -14.38) |
| Indonesia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.9% ( 30.76) | 16.1% ( -30.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.5% ( 36.88) | 45.5% ( -36.88) |
| Argentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.32% ( -7.13) | 20.68% ( 7.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.73% ( -12.63) | 53.27% ( 12.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Indonesia | Draw | Argentina |
| 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 5.1) 1-0 @ 6.08% ( 1.27)2-0 @ 5.55% ( 3.73)3-1 @ 5.33% ( 4.41)3-2 @ 4.2% ( 3.28)3-0 @ 3.38% ( 2.92)4-1 @ 2.43% ( 2.26)4-2 @ 1.92% ( 1.74)4-0 @ 1.54% ( 1.46)4-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.89)Other @ 3.77% Total : 43.96% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.9% ( 3.25)0-0 @ 3.33% ( -3.02)3-3 @ 2.21% ( 1.59)Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.46% | 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -2.06) 0-1 @ 5.25% ( -7.44)0-2 @ 4.14% ( -8.55)1-3 @ 3.97% ( -2.44)2-3 @ 3.62% ( 1.2)0-3 @ 2.17% ( -6.28)1-4 @ 1.56% ( -1.64)2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.22)Other @ 3.89% Total : 33.58% |
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