SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 55.98%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 20.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.29%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Bolivia win it was 1-0 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolivia | Draw | Brazil |
| 20.41% | 23.61% | 55.98% |
| Both teams to score 50.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.29% | 49.7% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.28% | 71.71% |
| Bolivia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.24% | 38.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.51% | 75.49% |
| Brazil Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.41% | 17.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.85% | 48.15% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolivia | Draw | Brazil |
| 1-0 @ 6.46% 2-1 @ 5.32% 2-0 @ 3.06% 3-1 @ 1.68% 3-2 @ 1.46% 3-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.46% Total : 20.41% | 1-1 @ 11.22% 0-0 @ 6.81% 2-2 @ 4.63% Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.6% | 0-1 @ 11.84% 0-2 @ 10.29% 1-2 @ 9.76% 0-3 @ 5.96% 1-3 @ 5.65% 2-3 @ 2.68% 0-4 @ 2.59% 1-4 @ 2.46% 2-4 @ 1.17% 0-5 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.67% Total : 55.97% |
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