SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Algeria | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Senegal | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Kenya | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 79.82%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Djibouti had a probability of 6.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.89%) and 1-0 (10.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.49%), while for a Djibouti win it was 0-1 (2.53%).
| Result | ||
| Kenya | Draw | Djibouti |
79.82% ( 0.06) | 13.67% ( -0.04) | 6.52% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 41.6% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.29% ( 0.12) | 38.71% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.98% ( 0.13) | 61.02% ( -0.12) |
| Kenya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.32% ( 0.04) | 7.68% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.61% ( 0.1) | 27.39% ( -0.1) |
| Djibouti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.06% ( 0.02) | 54.94% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.15% ( 0.01) | 87.85% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kenya | Draw | Djibouti |
| 2-0 @ 13.89% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 11.89% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 10.82% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.12% Total : 79.8% | 1-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 2.49% ( -0)Other @ 0.47% Total : 13.67% | 0-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.05% Total : 6.52% |
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