SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Libya | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Rwanda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Libya win with a probability of 37.73%. A win for Mali has a probability of 33.33% and a draw has a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Libya win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.71%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Mali win is 0-1 (11.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.36%).
| Result | ||
| Libya | Draw | Mali |
37.73% ( 1.12) | 28.93% ( -0.13) | 33.33% ( -0.98) |
| Both teams to score 44.9% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.28% ( 0.36) | 61.71% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.47% ( 0.27) | 81.52% ( -0.27) |
| Libya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.47% ( 0.89) | 31.53% ( -0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.08% ( 1.02) | 67.92% ( -1.01) |
| Mali Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.58% ( -0.49) | 34.42% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.87% ( -0.53) | 71.13% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Libya | Draw | Mali |
| 1-0 @ 12.52% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.93% Total : 37.73% | 1-1 @ 13.36% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 10.85% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.93% | 0-1 @ 11.57% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.25)1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 33.33% |
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