SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Libya | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Rwanda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zambia | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Namibia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Uganda | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Libya win with a probability of 46.76%. A draw has a probability of 26.9% and a win for Zambia has a probability of 26.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Libya win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Zambia win it is 0-1 (8.97%).
| Result | ||
| Libya | Draw | Zambia |
46.76% ( 0.78) | 26.9% ( 0.17) | 26.35% ( -0.95) |
| Both teams to score 47.46% ( -1.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.01% ( -1.15) | 57% ( 1.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.11% ( -0.93) | 77.89% ( 0.93) |
| Libya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.62% ( -0.13) | 24.38% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.21% ( -0.19) | 58.79% ( 0.19) |
| Zambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.75% ( -1.42) | 37.25% ( 1.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.97% ( -1.43) | 74.04% ( 1.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Libya | Draw | Zambia |
| 1-0 @ 12.81% ( 0.51) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.32)2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 46.75% | 1-1 @ 12.65% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.39)2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.89% | 0-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.12)Other @ 1.74% Total : 26.35% |
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