Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 75.2%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Hong Kong had a probability of 9.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.47%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.02%), while for a Hong Kong win it was 2-1 (2.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.
Result | ||
Hong Kong | Draw | Iran |
9.7% (![]() | 15.1% (![]() | 75.2% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.22% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.5% (![]() | 33.5% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.7% (![]() | 55.3% (![]() |
Hong Kong Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.45% (![]() | 43.55% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.24% (![]() | 79.75% (![]() |
Iran Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.52% (![]() | 7.48% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.13% (![]() | 26.86% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Hong Kong | Draw | Iran |
2-1 @ 2.92% (![]() 1-0 @ 2.71% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.13% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 1.91% Total : 9.7% | 1-1 @ 7.02% (![]() 2-2 @ 3.78% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.26% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 15.1% | 0-2 @ 10.95% (![]() 0-3 @ 9.47% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.1% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 8.44% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 7.87% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 6.14% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 5.1% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.27% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 3.18% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 2.65% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.12% ( ![]() 0-6 @ 1.38% ( ![]() 1-6 @ 1.14% ( ![]() 2-5 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 3.29% Total : 75.2% |
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