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World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Mar 26, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Milliy Stadion

Uzbekistan
3 - 0
Hong Kong

Shomurodov (20'), Erkinov (63'), Urunov (70')
Masharipov (68'), Sayfiyev (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kit Tsui (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Hong Kong 0-2 Uzbekistan
Thursday, March 21 at 12pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Uzbekistan 3-1 Hong Kong

Uzbekistan are flying at the moment and will certainly take some stopping here. We are backing the home side to cruise to a routine win at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 78.39%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Hong Kong had a probability of 6.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.92%) and 3-0 (12.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.94%), while for a Hong Kong win it was 0-1 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Uzbekistan would win this match.

Result
UzbekistanDrawHong Kong
78.39% (-0.206 -0.21) 15.24% (0.162 0.16) 6.37% (0.045 0.04)
Both teams to score 35.36% (-0.263 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.26% (-0.534 -0.53)46.73% (0.535 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31% (-0.499 -0.5)69% (0.501 0.5)
Uzbekistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.08% (-0.18599999999999 -0.19)9.92% (0.187 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.15% (-0.434 -0.43)32.85% (0.435 0.44)
Hong Kong Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
39.26% (-0.21 -0.21)60.74% (0.21 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.97% (-0.1049 -0.1)91.02% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Uzbekistan 78.37%
    Hong Kong 6.37%
    Draw 15.24%
UzbekistanDrawHong Kong
2-0 @ 16.08% (0.099999999999998 0.1)
1-0 @ 13.92% (0.2 0.2)
3-0 @ 12.38% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.02% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 7.16% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.18% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.57% (-0.062 -0.06)
5-0 @ 3.31% (-0.062 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.65% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.025 -0.03)
6-0 @ 1.27% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 78.37%
1-1 @ 6.94% (0.051 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.03% (0.134 0.13)
2-2 @ 2% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 15.24%
0-1 @ 3.01% (0.047 0.05)
1-2 @ 1.73%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 6.37%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hong Kong 0-2 Uzbekistan
Thursday, March 21 at 12pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Qatar 1-1 Uzbekistan (3-2 pen.)
Saturday, February 3 at 3.30pm in Asian Cup
Last Game: Uzbekistan 2-1 Thailand
Tuesday, January 30 at 11.30am in Asian Cup
Last Game: Australia 1-1 Uzbekistan
Tuesday, January 23 at 11.30am in Asian Cup
Last Game: India 0-3 Uzbekistan
Thursday, January 18 at 2.30pm in Asian Cup
Last Game: Uzbekistan 0-0 Syria
Saturday, January 13 at 5.30pm in Asian Cup
Last Game: Hong Kong 0-2 Uzbekistan
Thursday, March 21 at 12pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Hong Kong 0-3 Palestine
Tuesday, January 23 at 3pm in Asian Cup
Last Game: Hong Kong 0-1 Iran
Friday, January 19 at 5.30pm in Asian Cup
Last Game: UAE 3-1 Hong Kong
Sunday, January 14 at 2.30pm in Asian Cup
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 2-0 Hong Kong
Wednesday, January 10 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Hong Kong 1-2 Tajikistan
Thursday, January 4 at 12pm in International Friendlies


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