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World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 16, 2021 at 9pm UK
 
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Venezuela
1 - 2
Peru

Machis (52')
Gonzalez (30'), Hernandez (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lapadula (18'), Cueva (65')
Advincula (42'), Yotun (61'), Trauco (90+5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezuela win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Peru had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezuela win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Peru win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
VenezuelaDrawPeru
38.97%25.59%35.44%
Both teams to score 55.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.57%48.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.43%70.56%
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.52%24.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.08%58.92%
Peru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.57%26.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.4%61.6%
Score Analysis
    Venezuela 38.97%
    Peru 35.44%
    Draw 25.58%
VenezuelaDrawPeru
1-0 @ 9.1%
2-1 @ 8.53%
2-0 @ 6.41%
3-1 @ 4%
3-0 @ 3.01%
3-2 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 1.41%
4-0 @ 1.06%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 38.97%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 6.47%
2-2 @ 5.67%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.58%
0-1 @ 8.61%
1-2 @ 8.06%
0-2 @ 5.73%
1-3 @ 3.58%
0-3 @ 2.54%
2-3 @ 2.52%
1-4 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 35.44%

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