Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezuela win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Peru had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezuela win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Peru win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.