SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peru win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Bolivia had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peru win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Bolivia win was 1-0 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bolivia | Draw | Peru |
33.38% ( -0.69) | 27.68% ( -0.05) | 38.94% ( 0.73) |
| Both teams to score 48.5% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.74% ( 0.08) | 57.26% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.9% ( 0.06) | 78.1% ( -0.06) |
| Bolivia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.93% ( -0.42) | 32.07% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.46% ( -0.48) | 68.54% ( 0.48) |
| Peru Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.4% ( 0.47) | 28.6% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.6% ( 0.58) | 64.4% ( -0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolivia | Draw | Peru |
| 1-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.77% Total : 33.38% | 1-1 @ 13.05% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.67% | 0-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 7.19% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 3% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.75% Total : 38.94% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
