SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 70.98%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 9.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.34%) and 3-0 (10.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Paraguay in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Paraguay.
| Result | ||
| Paraguay | Draw | Bolivia |
70.98% ( 1.02) | 19.41% ( -0.66) | 9.61% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 37.35% ( 0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.88% ( 1.52) | 53.13% ( -1.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.3% ( 1.28) | 74.7% ( -1.27) |
| Paraguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.21% ( 0.8) | 13.79% ( -0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.9% ( 1.56) | 41.11% ( -1.55) |
| Bolivia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.32% ( 0.2) | 56.68% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.14% ( 0.11) | 88.86% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paraguay | Draw | Bolivia |
| 1-0 @ 15.48% ( -0.48) 2-0 @ 15.34% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.27)2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.19)4-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.27)4-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.17)5-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.94% Total : 70.98% | 1-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.48)2-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.33% Total : 19.41% | 0-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.42% Total : 9.61% |
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