SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Myanmar win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Lebanon had a probability of 36.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Myanmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Lebanon win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Myanmar | Draw | Lebanon |
37.05% ( 0.03) | 26.54% ( 0.03) | 36.41% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.44% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.55% ( -0.12) | 52.45% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.87% ( -0.1) | 74.12% ( 0.1) |
| Myanmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.6% ( -0.04) | 27.4% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.13% ( -0.05) | 62.87% ( 0.04) |
| Lebanon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.22% ( -0.09) | 27.77% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.64% ( -0.12) | 63.35% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Myanmar | Draw | Lebanon |
| 1-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.17% 2-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.75% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 2.97% Total : 37.05% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.24% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.87% Total : 36.41% |
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