SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Myanmar win with a probability of 75.53%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Nepal had a probability of 8.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Myanmar win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.45%) and 3-0 (10.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.56%), while for a Nepal win it was 0-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Myanmar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Myanmar | Draw | Nepal |
75.53% ( -0.16) | 15.92% ( 0.08) | 8.55% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 43.8% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.33% ( -0.1) | 41.66% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.93% ( -0.1) | 64.06% ( 0.1) |
| Myanmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.64% ( -0.06) | 9.35% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.48% ( -0.15) | 31.52% ( 0.15) |
| Nepal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.32% ( 0.11) | 51.68% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.2% ( 0.07) | 85.79% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Myanmar | Draw | Nepal |
| 2-0 @ 13.56% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 11.45% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 10.71% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.07% ( -0)4-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.38% 6-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.32% Total : 75.51% | 1-1 @ 7.56% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.57% Total : 15.92% | 0-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.81% Total : 8.55% |
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