SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nicaragua win with a probability of 48.99%. A win for El Salvador had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nicaragua win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest El Salvador win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nicaragua in this match.
| Result | ||
| Nicaragua | Draw | El Salvador |
48.99% ( 0.07) | 24.79% ( -0.01) | 26.21% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.6% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.08% ( -0.01) | 48.91% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.99% ( -0.01) | 71% ( 0) |
| Nicaragua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80% ( 0.02) | 19.99% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.81% ( 0.04) | 52.18% ( -0.05) |
| El Salvador Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67% ( -0.05) | 32.99% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.42% ( -0.06) | 69.58% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nicaragua | Draw | El Salvador |
| 1-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.05% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 2.83% Total : 48.98% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 6.6% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.79% | 0-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 26.21% |
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