SM
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Fortaleza | 6 | 12 | 15 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 3 | Estudiantes Merida | 6 | -13 | 3 |
| 4 | Palestine | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palestine win with a probability of 51.7%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Tajikistan had a probability of 22.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palestine win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Tajikistan win it was 0-1 (8.05%).
| Result | ||
| Palestine | Draw | Tajikistan |
51.7% ( 0.02) | 25.98% ( -0.01) | 22.31% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.14% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.26% ( 0.03) | 56.73% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.31% ( 0.02) | 77.68% ( -0.02) |
| Palestine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.97% ( 0.02) | 22.02% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.65% ( 0.03) | 55.34% ( -0.04) |
| Tajikistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.17% ( 0) | 40.82% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.6% ( 0) | 77.39% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Palestine | Draw | Tajikistan |
| 1-0 @ 13.6% 2-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.19% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.65% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0)Other @ 2.94% Total : 51.7% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.13% ( 0)Other @ 0.68% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.46% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.61% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.63% 2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 1.24% Total : 22.31% |
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