SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Libya | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Rwanda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rwanda win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Sudan had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rwanda win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Sudan win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rwanda | Draw | Sudan |
| 44.55% | 26.12% | 29.33% |
| Both teams to score 51.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.53% | 52.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.86% | 74.14% |
| Rwanda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.55% | 23.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.53% | 57.46% |
| Sudan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.54% | 32.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.02% | 68.98% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rwanda | Draw | Sudan |
| 1-0 @ 11.04% 2-1 @ 9.01% 2-0 @ 8% 3-1 @ 4.35% 3-0 @ 3.87% 3-2 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.58% 4-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.85% Total : 44.55% | 1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 7.61% 2-2 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 8.57% 1-2 @ 6.99% 0-2 @ 4.82% 1-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 1.9% 0-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.63% Total : 29.33% |
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