SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Libya | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Rwanda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Guinea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Malawi | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 57.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Rwanda had a probability of 18.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.48%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Rwanda win it was 1-0 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Senegal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Senegal.
| Result | ||
| Rwanda | Draw | Senegal |
18.32% ( -0) | 24.08% ( 0) | 57.6% |
| Both teams to score 45.82% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.82% ( -0.02) | 54.18% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.41% ( -0.02) | 75.59% ( 0.02) |
| Rwanda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.31% ( -0.02) | 43.68% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.13% ( -0.02) | 79.86% ( 0.01) |
| Senegal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.35% ( -0.01) | 18.64% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.04% ( -0.01) | 49.96% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rwanda | Draw | Senegal |
| 1-0 @ 6.75% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.69% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.79% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.3% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 1.71% Total : 18.32% | 1-1 @ 11.32% 0-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.94% ( -0)Other @ 0.67% Total : 24.07% | 0-1 @ 13.67% 0-2 @ 11.48% 1-2 @ 9.52% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.43% 1-3 @ 5.33% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.7% 1-4 @ 2.24% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0)0-5 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 57.58% |
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