SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ghana | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Mali | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Niger | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 66.29%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Niger had a probability of 12.14%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.27%) and 1-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Niger win it was 1-0 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Algeria in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Algeria.
| Result | ||
| Niger | Draw | Algeria |
12.14% ( -0.37) | 21.56% ( 0.13) | 66.29% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 39.41% ( -1.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.82% ( -1.22) | 55.18% ( 1.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.58% ( -1.01) | 76.42% ( 1.01) |
| Niger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.89% ( -1.38) | 53.11% ( 1.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.28% ( -0.89) | 86.72% ( 0.89) |
| Algeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.06% ( -0.33) | 15.94% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.78% ( -0.61) | 45.21% ( 0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Niger | Draw | Algeria |
| 1-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.98% Total : 12.14% | 1-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.39)2-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.4% Total : 21.56% | 0-1 @ 15.54% ( 0.55) 0-2 @ 14.27% ( 0.35)1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 8.74% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 5.53% ( -0.15)0-4 @ 4.01% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.54% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.12)0-5 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.47% Total : 66.28% |
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