SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solomon Islands win with a probability of 52.52%. A win for Fiji had a probability of 24.04% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solomon Islands win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Fiji win was 0-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Solomon Islands would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Solomon Islands | Draw | Fiji |
52.52% ( -0.02) | 23.43% ( -0.01) | 24.04% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.83% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.06% ( 0.03) | 44.93% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.71% ( 0.03) | 67.28% ( -0.04) |
| Solomon Islands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.9% ( 0) | 17.1% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.7% ( 0.01) | 47.29% ( -0.02) |
| Fiji Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.34% ( 0.03) | 32.65% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.8% ( 0.03) | 69.2% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Solomon Islands | Draw | Fiji |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.74% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.13% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.53% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.26% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0)Other @ 3.91% Total : 52.52% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.43% | 0-1 @ 6.25% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.18% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.5% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 24.04% |
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