South Africa will be aiming to make home advantage count as they have done all-tournament long to leave them 90 minutes from a place in the final. We are backing them to just about get the job done come the sound of the final whistle in what should be a game of fine margins. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 44.73%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 27.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.78%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
South Africa	Draw	Zambia
44.73%	27.72%	27.55%

Both teams to score 46.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.75%

59.24%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.34%

79.65%

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.61%

26.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.45%

61.54%

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.52%

37.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.74%

74.26%

Score Analysis

South Africa 44.73%

Zambia 27.55%

Draw 27.71%

South Africa	Draw	Zambia
1-0 @ 13.17% 2-0 @ 8.78% 2-1 @ 8.61% 3-0 @ 3.9% 3-1 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 1.88% 4-0 @ 1.3% 4-1 @ 1.27% Other @ 2% Total : 44.73%	1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 9.89% 2-2 @ 4.23% Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.71%	0-1 @ 9.71% 1-2 @ 6.35% 0-2 @ 4.76% 1-3 @ 2.08% 0-3 @ 1.56% 2-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 1.72% Total : 27.55%