With both teams still hurting from losing their respective semi-final ties, we are expecting an open and end to end affair. That said, we are tipping South Africa to narrowly edge out Malawi and claim a podium finish. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 46.13%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for South Africa had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a South Africa win it was 0-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Malawi	Draw	South Africa
46.13%	27.97%	25.9%

Both teams to score 44.22%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.04%

60.96%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.03%

80.96%

Malawi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.52%

26.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.34%

61.66%

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.15%

39.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.49%

76.51%

Score Analysis

Malawi 46.12%

South Africa 25.9%

Draw 27.96%

Malawi	Draw	South Africa
1-0 @ 14.01% 2-0 @ 9.32% 2-1 @ 8.57% 3-0 @ 4.13% 3-1 @ 3.8% 3-2 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.37% 4-1 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.92% Total : 46.12%	1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 10.54% 2-2 @ 3.94% Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.96%	0-1 @ 9.71% 1-2 @ 5.94% 0-2 @ 4.47% 1-3 @ 1.82% 0-3 @ 1.37% 2-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.39% Total : 25.9%