SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Egypt | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Uganda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 54.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Sudan had a probability of 19.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Sudan win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Congo DR in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Congo DR.
| Result | ||
| Congo DR | Draw | Sudan |
54.4% ( -0.17) | 26.52% ( 0.1) | 19.07% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 40.71% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.38% ( -0.24) | 61.61% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.54% ( -0.18) | 81.45% ( 0.18) |
| Congo DR Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.08% ( -0.18) | 22.91% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.32% ( -0.26) | 56.68% ( 0.26) |
| Sudan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.81% ( -0.05) | 47.18% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.37% ( -0.04) | 82.62% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Congo DR | Draw | Sudan |
| 1-0 @ 15.93% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 11.73% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.48% Total : 54.39% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.44% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.49% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 19.07% |
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