Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 37.81%. A draw had a probability of 33.6% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 28.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.96%) and 1-2 (6.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.77%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 1-0 (13.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Equatorial Guinea | Draw | Tunisia |
28.64% ( -0.64) | 33.55% ( 0.17) | 37.81% ( 0.47) |
Both teams to score 33.16% ( -0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
25% ( -0.47) | 75% ( 0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
9.73% ( -0.27) | 90.27% ( 0.27) |
Equatorial Guinea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.21% ( -0.84) | 45.79% ( 0.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.44% ( -0.67) | 81.56% ( 0.67) |
Tunisia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.18% ( 0.03) | 38.82% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.44% ( 0.03) | 75.55% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Equatorial Guinea | Draw | Tunisia |
1-0 @ 13.88% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.46% Total : 28.64% | 0-0 @ 17.77% ( 0.31) 1-1 @ 13.13% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.21% Total : 33.54% | 0-1 @ 16.82% ( 0.31) 0-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 37.81% |
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