SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 69.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Tunisia had a probability of 10.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.6%) and 3-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Tunisia win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Egypt | Draw | Tunisia |
69.46% ( 0.08) | 19.86% ( -0.05) | 10.67% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 39.62% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.81% ( 0.09) | 52.18% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.1% ( 0.08) | 73.9% ( -0.08) |
| Egypt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.04% ( 0.05) | 13.96% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.56% ( 0.1) | 41.44% ( -0.11) |
| Tunisia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.05% ( -0.01) | 53.95% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.76% ( -0) | 87.24% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Egypt | Draw | Tunisia |
| 1-0 @ 14.82% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 14.6% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.07% Total : 69.46% | 1-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 2.78% ( -0)Other @ 0.41% Total : 19.86% | 0-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.77% Total : 10.67% |
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