SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Libya | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Rwanda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 47.24%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Libya had a probability of 22.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.41%) and 1-2 (7.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.25%), while for a Libya win it was 1-0 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 17.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tunisia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Tunisia.
| Result | ||
| Libya | Draw | Tunisia |
22.62% ( -0.33) | 30.14% ( -0.15) | 47.24% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 36.65% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.93% ( 0.21) | 69.07% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.37% ( 0.14) | 86.64% ( -0.13) |
| Libya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.25% ( -0.21) | 47.76% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.95% ( -0.15) | 83.05% ( 0.16) |
| Tunisia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.16% ( 0.36) | 29.85% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.07% ( 0.44) | 65.93% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Libya | Draw | Tunisia |
| 1-0 @ 10.53% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.37% Total : 22.62% | 0-0 @ 14.25% ( -0.11) 1-1 @ 12.73% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 2.85% ( 0)Other @ 0.3% Total : 30.13% | 0-1 @ 17.23% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 10.41% ( 0.12)1-2 @ 7.7% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 4.2% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.23% Total : 47.23% |
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