SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Zambia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tanzania win with a probability of 36.36%. A draw had a probability of 32% and a win for Kenya had a probability of 31.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tanzania win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.38%) and 2-1 (6.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.21%), while for a Kenya win it was 0-1 (13.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tanzania | Draw | Kenya |
36.36% ( -0.03) | 31.96% ( -0.02) | 31.69% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 37.13% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 29.17% ( 0.06) | 70.83% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.24% ( 0.04) | 87.76% ( -0.04) |
| Tanzania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.65% ( 0.02) | 37.34% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.87% ( 0.02) | 74.13% ( -0.02) |
| Kenya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.26% ( 0.08) | 40.74% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.68% ( 0.07) | 77.32% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tanzania | Draw | Kenya |
| 1-0 @ 14.98% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 6.63% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.42% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.18% ( 0)3-2 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 1.79% Total : 36.35% | 0-0 @ 15.21% ( -0.03) 1-1 @ 13.45% 2-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 31.95% | 0-1 @ 13.66% 0-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 31.69% |
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