Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
-0.03) 
0.22) 
