SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 55.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 20.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Tokyo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Tokyo | Draw | Gamba Osaka |
55.74% ( -0.31) | 23.28% ( 0.18) | 20.98% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 52.33% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.35% ( -0.58) | 47.65% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.15% ( -0.54) | 69.85% ( 0.53) |
| FC Tokyo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.07% ( -0.32) | 16.92% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.01% ( -0.57) | 46.99% ( 0.56) |
| Gamba Osaka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63% ( -0.19) | 37% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.21% ( -0.19) | 73.79% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Tokyo | Draw | Gamba Osaka |
| 1-0 @ 11.12% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.05% Total : 55.74% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.28% | 0-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.82% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.69% Total : 20.98% |
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