J1 League | Gameweek 30
Oct 21, 2023 at 5am UK
Denka Big Swan Stadium
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and Sagan Tosu.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result |
| Albirex Niigata | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
47.58% ( -0.01) | 23.64% ( -0.01) | 28.77% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.51% ( 0.07) |
| 57.94% ( 0.08) | 42.06% ( -0.08) |
| 35.54% ( 0.08) | 64.46% ( -0.08) |
| 82.12% ( 0.03) | 17.88% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.34% ( 0.05) | 48.65% ( -0.05) |
| 72.47% ( 0.06) | 27.53% ( -0.06) |
