Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 69.5%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 11.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.89%) and 3-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Yokohama F Marinos in this match.
-0.14) 
0.12) 
