J1 League | Gameweek 23
Jul 14, 2024 at 11am UK
Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium
We said: Kawasaki Frontale 1-1 Cerezo Osaka
Kawasaki have drawn each of their last four top-flight matches, while Cerezo Osaka have seen each of their previous three away league games finish all square, and with that in mind, we think that the two sides could play out a draw in Sunday's encounter.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result |
| Kawasaki Frontale | Draw | Cerezo Osaka |
40.36% ( 0.13) | 25.11% ( 0.02) | 34.53% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 57.07% ( -0.11) |
| 53.58% ( -0.13) | 46.42% ( 0.12) |
| 31.3% ( -0.12) | 68.7% ( 0.12) |
| 77.14% ( 0.01) | 22.86% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.4% ( 0.01) | 56.6% ( -0.02) |
| 73.98% ( -0.15) | 26.02% ( 0.15) |
