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J1 League | Gameweek 37
Nov 27, 2021 at 5am UK
Kincho Stadium

Cerezo
2 - 1
Nagoya Grampus

Fujita (80'), Nishio (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kakitani (67')
Nagasawa (77')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Nagoya Grampus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawNagoya Grampus
30.98%27.53%41.49%
Both teams to score 48.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.75%57.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.9%78.1%
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.25%33.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.59%70.41%
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.83%27.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.42%62.58%
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 30.98%
    Nagoya Grampus 41.48%
    Draw 27.52%
Cerezo OsakaDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 9.96%
2-1 @ 7.05%
2-0 @ 5.41%
3-1 @ 2.55%
3-0 @ 1.96%
3-2 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 30.98%
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 9.17%
2-2 @ 4.59%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.52%
0-1 @ 11.94%
1-2 @ 8.46%
0-2 @ 7.79%
1-3 @ 3.67%
0-3 @ 3.38%
2-3 @ 2%
1-4 @ 1.2%
0-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 41.48%

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Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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