SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 57.12%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 20.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Cerezo Osaka win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kawasaki Frontale | Draw | Cerezo Osaka |
57.12% ( 1.14) | 22.82% ( -0.57) | 20.06% ( -0.58) |
| Both teams to score 52.38% ( 0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.11% ( 1.63) | 46.89% ( -1.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.86% ( 1.51) | 69.14% ( -1.51) |
| Kawasaki Frontale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.83% ( 0.98) | 16.17% ( -0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.36% ( 1.76) | 45.64% ( -1.76) |
| Cerezo Osaka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.49% ( 0.34) | 37.51% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.71% ( 0.33) | 74.3% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kawasaki Frontale | Draw | Cerezo Osaka |
| 1-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.39) 2-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 6% ( 0.23)3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.19)4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.11)5-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 1% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.22% Total : 57.11% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.43)2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.81% | 0-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.36) 1-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.61% Total : 20.06% |
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