Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Consadole Sapporo had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Consadole Sapporo win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
