Despite both sides tasting defeat last week, they have both had solid records in recent weeks, so we can see this one being a closely-fought contest. The two sides have scored and conceded a similar amount of goals so far this campaign, suggesting that there is not a lot to split the teams. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Sagan Tosu	Draw	Cerezo Osaka
34.25% ( -0.02)	26.55% ( 0)	39.21% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 52.18% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.31% (

-0.02)

52.68% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.67% (

-0.02)

74.33% (

0.01)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.79% (

-0.02)

29.21% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.84% (

-0.02)

65.16% (

0.02)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.71% (

-0)

26.29% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.58% (

61.41% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Sagan Tosu 34.25%

Cerezo Osaka 39.21%

Draw 26.54%

Sagan Tosu	Draw	Cerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 9.45% 2-1 @ 7.77% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.82% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.25%	1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 7.68% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.54%	0-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.43% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.85% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.05% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.25% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.27% Total : 39.21%