SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 46.78%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 26.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 1-0 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sagan Tosu | Draw | Urawa Red Diamonds |
26.55% ( 0.09) | 26.67% ( -0.02) | 46.78% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 48.25% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.95% ( 0.14) | 56.05% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.87% ( 0.11) | 77.13% ( -0.11) |
| Sagan Tosu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.44% ( 0.15) | 36.56% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.65% ( 0.16) | 73.35% ( -0.16) |
| Urawa Red Diamonds Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.05% ( 0.03) | 23.95% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.82% ( 0.04) | 58.18% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sagan Tosu | Draw | Urawa Red Diamonds |
| 1-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.84% Total : 26.55% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.66% | 0-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.94% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.26% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.52% ( -0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 46.78% |
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