Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 56.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 21.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 1-2 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vissel Kobe in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vissel Kobe.
Result | ||
Vissel Kobe | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
56.28% ( 0.52) | 22.29% ( -0.22) | 21.43% ( -0.3) |
Both teams to score 56.23% ( 0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.21% ( 0.63) | 42.79% ( -0.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.8% ( 0.62) | 65.19% ( -0.62) |
Vissel Kobe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.96% ( 0.39) | 15.04% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.47% ( 0.73) | 43.52% ( -0.73) |
Sagan Tosu Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.18% ( 0.08) | 33.81% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.52% ( 0.08) | 70.48% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Vissel Kobe | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.77% Total : 56.28% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.29% | 1-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.2% Total : 21.43% |
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