SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Tokyo | Draw | Urawa Red Diamonds |
35.01% ( -0.45) | 25.31% ( 0.12) | 39.68% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 56.45% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.74% ( -0.62) | 47.26% ( 0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.51% ( -0.58) | 69.49% ( 0.58) |
| FC Tokyo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.87% ( -0.56) | 26.13% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.8% ( -0.75) | 61.2% ( 0.75) |
| Urawa Red Diamonds Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.42% ( -0.11) | 23.58% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.35% ( -0.15) | 57.65% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Tokyo | Draw | Urawa Red Diamonds |
| 1-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.31% Total : 35.01% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.31% | 0-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 4.16% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.04% Total : 39.68% |
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