Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 37.08%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Sagan Tosu	Draw	Shonan Bellmare
37.08% ( 0.01)	28.16% ( 0.01)	34.76% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 47.28% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.13% (

-0.03)

58.87% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.63% (

-0.02)

79.37% (

0.02)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.5% (

-0.01)

30.5% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.28% (

-0.01)

66.72% (

0.01)

Shonan Bellmare Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.03% (

-0.02)

31.97% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.57% (

-0.03)

68.43% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Sagan Tosu 37.07%

Shonan Bellmare 34.75%

Draw 28.15%

Sagan Tosu	Draw	Shonan Bellmare
1-0 @ 11.57% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.84% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.88% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.1% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.72% 3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 37.07%	1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0) Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.15%	0-1 @ 11.11% 1-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.34% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 34.75%