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J1 League | Gameweek 33
Oct 23, 2021 at 9am UK
Panasonic Stadium Suita

Gamba Osaka
1 - 0
Sagan Tosu

Usami (10')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Gamba Osaka and Sagan Tosu.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result
Gamba OsakaDrawSagan Tosu
34.53%26.06%39.4%
Both teams to score 53.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.38%50.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.47%72.53%
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.97%28.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.32%63.68%
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.76%25.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.02%59.98%
Score Analysis
    Gamba Osaka 34.53%
    Sagan Tosu 39.4%
    Draw 26.06%
Gamba OsakaDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 9%
2-1 @ 7.88%
2-0 @ 5.72%
3-1 @ 3.34%
3-0 @ 2.43%
3-2 @ 2.3%
4-1 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 34.53%
1-1 @ 12.38%
0-0 @ 7.07%
2-2 @ 5.43%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 9.74%
1-2 @ 8.53%
0-2 @ 6.7%
1-3 @ 3.92%
0-3 @ 3.08%
2-3 @ 2.49%
1-4 @ 1.35%
0-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 39.4%

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