Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 62.09%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 16.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Cerezo Osaka win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
