SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kyoto Sanga | Draw | Nagoya Grampus |
30.68% ( -1.23) | 26.78% ( -0.15) | 42.54% ( 1.37) |
| Both teams to score 50.34% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.47% ( 0.2) | 54.53% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.12% ( 0.16) | 75.88% ( -0.16) |
| Kyoto Sanga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.45% ( -0.77) | 32.54% ( 0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.92% ( -0.87) | 69.08% ( 0.86) |
| Nagoya Grampus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.63% ( 0.81) | 25.37% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.84% ( 1.09) | 60.16% ( -1.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kyoto Sanga | Draw | Nagoya Grampus |
| 1-0 @ 9.27% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.26)3-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.63% Total : 30.68% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 8.72% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 7.77% ( 0.29)1-3 @ 3.99% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.36% Total : 42.53% |
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