Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 45.99%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 26.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
