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J1 League | Gameweek 28
Sep 23, 2023 at 11am UK
Kyoto Nishikyogoku Stadium

Kyoto Sanga
1 - 0
Hiroshima

Toyokawa (52')
Hara (90+1'), Patric (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kyoto Sanga and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Urawa 0-0 Kyoto Sanga
Friday, September 15 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 2-0 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, September 16 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 55.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 21.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.99%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 1-0 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Kyoto SangaDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
21.07% (0.0019999999999989 0) 23.58% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 55.34% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 51.51% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.19% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)48.81% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.09% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)70.91% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Kyoto Sanga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.43% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)37.57% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.65% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)74.35% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.51% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)17.49% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.02% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)47.98% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Kyoto Sanga 21.07%
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 55.34%
    Draw 23.58%
Kyoto SangaDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 6.43% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.49%
2-0 @ 3.15% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 1.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 21.07%
1-1 @ 11.21%
0-0 @ 6.57% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 23.58%
0-1 @ 11.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 9.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 5.81% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 5.68% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 2.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.48% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 55.34%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Urawa 0-0 Kyoto Sanga
Friday, September 15 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 2-1 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, September 3 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 2-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, August 26 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 3-0 Consadole
Saturday, August 19 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-0 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, August 12 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Reysol
Sunday, August 6 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 2-0 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, September 16 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-2 Hiroshima
Saturday, September 2 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 0-0 Hiroshima
Saturday, August 26 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 3-2 Kawasaki
Saturday, August 19 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 2-1 Urawa
Sunday, August 13 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 1-0 Hiroshima
Saturday, August 5 at 11am in J1 League


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