Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.

Result
Gamba Osaka	Draw	Sagan Tosu
34.84% ( -1.1)	25.38% ( -1.11)	39.78% ( 2.21)

Both teams to score 56.19% (

3.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.41% (

4.68)

47.59% (

-4.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.21% (

4.18)

69.79% (

-4.18)

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.61% (

1.58)

26.39% (

-1.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.46% (

2.06)

61.54% (

-2.06)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.33% (

3.34)

23.67% (

-3.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.22% (

4.59)

57.78% (

-4.58)

Score Analysis

Gamba Osaka 34.84%

Sagan Tosu 39.78%

Draw 25.38%

Gamba Osaka	Draw	Sagan Tosu
1-0 @ 8.32% ( -1.3) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.59) 3-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.33) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.24% Total : 34.84%	1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.6) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( -1.31) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.5) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.25) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38%	0-1 @ 9% ( -0.89) 1-2 @ 8.64% ( 0.39) 0-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.55) 0-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.29) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.47) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.32) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.2) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0.25) Other @ 2.02% Total : 39.78%