Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 62.96%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 16.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Kawasaki Frontale	Draw	Sagan Tosu
62.96% ( -0.02)	20.98% ( 0)	16.06% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 50.7% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.69% (

0.02)

45.3% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.36% (

0.02)

67.64% (

-0.02)

Kawasaki Frontale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.23%

13.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.94% (

-0)

41.06% (

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.79% (

0.03)

41.21% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.26% (

0.03)

77.74% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Kawasaki Frontale 62.94%

Sagan Tosu 16.06%

Draw 20.98%

Kawasaki Frontale	Draw	Sagan Tosu
1-0 @ 11.24% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.15% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.54% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.66% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.24% 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.79% Total : 62.94%	1-1 @ 9.97% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0) Other @ 0.96% Total : 20.98%	0-1 @ 5.03% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.42% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.23% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.31% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 16.06%