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J1 League | Gameweek 20
Aug 31, 2022 at 11am UK
Todoroki Athletics Stadium

Kawasaki
4 - 0
Sagan Tosu

Chinen (26'), Schmidt (47'), Marcinho (56'), Oshima (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Seok-Ho (32'), Naganuma (79')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kawasaki Frontale and Sagan Tosu.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 62.96%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 16.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawSagan Tosu
62.96% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 20.98% (0.0019999999999989 0) 16.06% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.7% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.69% (0.016999999999996 0.02)45.3% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.36% (0.015999999999998 0.02)67.64% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.23%13.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.94% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)41.06% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.79% (0.033999999999999 0.03)41.21% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.26% (0.029 0.03)77.74% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Kawasaki Frontale 62.94%
    Sagan Tosu 16.06%
    Draw 20.98%
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 11.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 7.37% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.54% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 3.66% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 3.24%
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.0029999999999997 0)
5-0 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 62.94%
1-1 @ 9.97% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-0 @ 5.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.38% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 20.98%
0-1 @ 5.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 4.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.3% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 16.06%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Kawasaki 2-1 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, August 27 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-4 Kawasaki
Saturday, August 20 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 2-1 Yokohama
Sunday, August 7 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 3-1 Kawasaki
Saturday, July 30 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 1-2 PSG
Wednesday, July 20 at 11.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: PSG 2-1 Kawasaki
Wednesday, July 20 at 11.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Friday, August 26 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 1-2 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, August 20 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-0 Nagoya Grampus
Sunday, August 14 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 2-0 Jubilo Iwata
Sunday, August 7 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Shimizu S-Pulse 3-3 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, July 31 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 2-2 Yokohama
Saturday, July 16 at 11am in J1 League


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