Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Yokohama FC had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Yokohama FC win was 1-0 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.

Result
Yokohama FC	Draw	Sagan Tosu
30.87% ( 0.09)	26.28% ( 0.65)	42.84% ( -0.75)

Both teams to score 51.97% (

-2.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.52% (

-2.66)

52.48% (

2.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.85% (

-2.33)

74.15% (

2.33)

Yokohama FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.64% (

-1.29)

31.35% (

1.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.28% (

-1.52)

67.72% (

1.52)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.7% (

-1.52)

24.29% (

1.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.33% (

-2.2)

58.67% (

2.2)

Score Analysis

Yokohama FC 30.87%

Sagan Tosu 42.83%

Draw 26.28%

Yokohama FC	Draw	Sagan Tosu
1-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.61) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 1.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 30.87%	1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.77) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.28) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.28%	0-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.64) 1-2 @ 8.84% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.27) 0-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.25) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.17) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.66% Total : 42.83%