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J1 League | Gameweek 13
May 14, 2023 at 5.30am UK
Level-5 stadium

Avispa Fukuoka
0 - 0
Sagan Tosu


Lukian (25')
FT

Iwasaki (35'), Kawata (87'), Horigome (90+2')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Avispa Fukuoka and Sagan Tosu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hiroshima 3-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, May 7 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 0-2 Sagan Tosu
Wednesday, May 10 at 11.30am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Avispa FukuokaDrawSagan Tosu
43.39% (-0.516 -0.52) 27.55% (0.282 0.28) 29.06% (0.232 0.23)
Both teams to score 47.35% (-0.679 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.02% (-0.924 -0.92)57.98% (0.924 0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.32% (-0.734 -0.73)78.67% (0.733 0.73)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.5% (-0.69199999999999 -0.69)26.5% (0.69 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.31% (-0.92599999999999 -0.93)61.69% (0.926 0.93)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.42% (-0.31700000000001 -0.32)35.58% (0.317 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.65% (-0.329 -0.33)72.35% (0.327 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Avispa Fukuoka 43.39%
    Sagan Tosu 29.06%
    Draw 27.54%
Avispa FukuokaDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 12.52% (0.2 0.2)
2-1 @ 8.59% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-0 @ 8.32% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.8% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-0 @ 3.68% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.22% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 43.39%
1-1 @ 12.93% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 9.43% (0.327 0.33)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.095 -0.09)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.54%
0-1 @ 9.74% (0.257 0.26)
1-2 @ 6.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.03% (0.09 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.3% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.73% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 29.06%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Hiroshima 3-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, May 7 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 FC Tokyo
Wednesday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-3 Kawasaki
Saturday, April 29 at 9am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 2-2 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, April 23 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 3-2 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, April 15 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, April 9 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 0-2 Sagan Tosu
Wednesday, May 10 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 1-0 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, May 7 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-3 Yokohama
Wednesday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 2-3 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, April 23 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-1 Reysol
Saturday, April 15 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-0 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, April 9 at 6am in J1 League


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