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J1 League | Gameweek 10
May 10, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Saitama Stadium 2002

Urawa
0 - 2
Sagan Tosu

 
FT(HT: 0-0)
Naganuma (70'), Tezuka (75')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Urawa Red Diamonds and Sagan Tosu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Urawa 1-0 Al-Hilal
Saturday, May 6 at 10am in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Kawasaki 1-0 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, May 7 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 62.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 15.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Urawa Red DiamondsDrawSagan Tosu
62.72% (0.609 0.61) 21.46% (-0.216 -0.22) 15.82% (-0.396 -0.4)
Both teams to score 48.63% (-0.205 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.21% (0.188 0.19)47.79% (-0.188 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.02% (0.172 0.17)69.97% (-0.172 -0.17)
Urawa Red Diamonds Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.36% (0.254 0.25)14.64% (-0.256 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.23% (0.488 0.49)42.76% (-0.48699999999999 -0.49)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.97% (-0.40900000000001 -0.41)43.03% (0.408 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.69% (-0.346 -0.35)79.31% (0.34400000000001 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Urawa Red Diamonds 62.71%
    Sagan Tosu 15.82%
    Draw 21.46%
Urawa Red DiamondsDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 12.1% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 11.62% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.45% (0.143 0.14)
3-1 @ 6.28% (0.050999999999999 0.05)
4-0 @ 3.58% (0.1 0.1)
4-1 @ 3.02% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.38% (0.051 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.16% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 62.71%
1-1 @ 10.2% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 6.3% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.14% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 21.46%
0-1 @ 5.31% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-2 @ 4.3% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-2 @ 2.24% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.21% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.16% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 15.82%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Urawa 1-0 Al-Hilal
Saturday, May 6 at 10am in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 1-1 Urawa
Saturday, April 29 at 6.30pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Kawasaki 1-1 Urawa
Sunday, April 23 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 4-1 Consadole
Saturday, April 15 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-0 Urawa
Sunday, April 9 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 0-3 Urawa
Friday, March 31 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 1-0 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, May 7 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-3 Yokohama
Wednesday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 2-3 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, April 23 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-1 Reysol
Saturday, April 15 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-0 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, April 9 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-0 FC Tokyo
Saturday, April 1 at 7am in J1 League


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