Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 64.05%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 14.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.7%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kawasaki Frontale in this match.
